Prisco’s NFL Division Playoff Picks: Cowboys shock 49ers; Eagles, Chiefs and Bills are scared

What a way to open the NFL playoffs for me last week. It was Super Wild Card weekend and I was great with my picks. I went 4-0 with my best bets in the Pick Six podcast, went 4-2 with my ATS picks in our CBS Sports expert picks and was 6-0 straight.

They don’t call me Playoff Petey for nothing.

So let’s keep it up and pull off another good week with the pickaxes. I can already hear the dogs barking.

Saturday, 4:30 p.m. ET (NBC) | Steam: Fubo TV

Featured game | Kansas City Chiefs vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

The Chiefs beat the Jaguars 27-17 in November, but it was another Jacksonville team and the game really wasn’t as close as the score. This Jacksonville team was struggling on offense, while this one isn’t. The Chiefs are going to be a real problem for the Jacksonville defense, which has sometimes struggled against the pass. The Jags don’t rush the passer so well, which is a big advantage for Patrick Mahomes. Jacksonville didn’t have a sack in the first meeting. It’s always a problem against Mahomes. I see the Jaguars scoring against a Chiefs defense that can be beaten because Trevor Lawrence is playing well. But I don’t see the Jaguars slowing down the Chiefs offense. Look for Mahomes to post big numbers, which the Jaguars won’t be able to match. The Chiefs will move on to the AFC title game.

Take: Chiefs 34, Jaguars 28

Saturday, 8:15 p.m. ET (Fox) | Steam: Fubo TV

Featured game | Philadelphia Eagles vs. New York Giants

The Giants impressed on offense beating the Vikings last week, but it’s a much tougher challenge for Daniel Jones and Co. The Eagles led the NFL in sacks and have five guys who had 10 or more. It’s the pressure. The Giants have leaked their line at times, which must be concerning. But offensive coordinator Mike Kafka is doing a good job of arranging things for Jones. The Eagles didn’t look good on offense in the regular season finale against the Giants, who rested the players that day. Jalen Hurts was back for this game after missing two, but he didn’t look good. The extra time will help in terms of health. Look for the Eagles to attack in the air here, but the Giants came to life on the defensive front. Without Lane Johnson, that could be a problem for the Eagles. Even so, look for Philadelphia to pull it off and move on to the NFC Championship Game.

Take: Eagles 30, Giants 28

Sunday, 3 p.m. ET (CBS) | Flux: Paramount+ (click here)

Featured game | Buffalo Bills vs. Cincinnati Bengals

This is the game of the weekend if you like the quarterback game. Joe Burrow versus Josh Allen. We thought we’d see this game in Week 17, but the game was canceled after Damar Hamlin suffered cardiac arrest. It was the right thing to do, but it’s also why this game is in Buffalo. If the Bengals had won that game and were leading early, that game would have been in Cincinnati. Actually, it’s in Buffalo. Neither team looked great last week against backup quarterbacks and both struggled to advance. I think both will play better here. The Bengals have offensive line issues, with three starters possibly missing, but the Bills didn’t really press the passer so well last week against Miami and Burrow gets the ball out quickly. It should be a shootout with both quarterbacks having big days. In the end, I think it’s Allen and the Bills who will win in the fourth quarter.

Take: Bills 34, Bengals 30

Sunday, 6:30 p.m. ET (Fox) | Steam: Fubo TV

Featured game | San Francisco 49ers vs. Dallas Cowboys

The 49ers beat the Cowboys for them in last year’s playoffs, so this will be a chance for the Cowboys to even things up. Dallas beat Tampa Bay on Monday night, so it’s another road game in a short week that will challenge them. The 49ers will actually have an extra day off since playing last Saturday. But the Cowboys seemed to be finding their offense against the Bucs, especially Dak Prescott. The 49ers have a better defense than Tampa Bay, but the Dallas offense will be able to move the ball. For the 49ers, it will come down to Brock Purdy against pressure from Dallas. Purdy has been exceptional since taking over as a starter with five games left in the regular season. He played well beating the Seahawks last week, but it’s going to be the best defense he’s faced. Dallas’ pass rush can be disruptive, which I think is happening here. Prescott will take the upper hand between the two quarters in this one as Dallas pulls off the upset.

Take: Cowboys 27, 49ers 26

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